Possible limitations of probabilistic methods in engineering

Author Type

Faculty

Co-Author Type 1

Outside Researcher

Co-Author Type 2

Outside Researcher

Co-Author Type 3

Outside Researcher

College

Engineering and Computer Science

Department

Ocean and Mechanical Engineering

Document Type

Article

Publication/Event/Conference Title

Applied Mechanics Reviews

Publication Status

Version of Record

Abstract

This article summarizes the thinking of researchers and engineers world-wide on possible limitations of probabilistic methods in engineering, with particular emphasis upon structural mechanics. This question was posed over a ten year period (1988-1998) to numerous experts in the field. Written responses were received from 42, and they form the main body of this article. In an extensive discussion section, the author identifies some topics, trends, and thinking which seem to be prevalent in the responses, and supplements these with numerous related observations taken from the published literature, and other experts, who were not included in the original survey. This results in a references list with 52 entries. One ultimate conclusion reached is that reliability is much less known than many think it is. © 2000 American Society of Mechanical Engineers.

First Page

19

Last Page

36

DOI

10.1115/1.3097337

Publication Date

1-1-2000

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