Author Type

Graduate Student

Date of Award

2012

Document Type

Thesis

Publication Status

Version of Record

Submission Date

October 2026

Abstract

The focus of this thesis is to statistically model violent crime rates against population over the years 1960-2009 for the United States. We approach this question as to be of interest since the trend of population for individual states follows different patterns. We propose here a method which employs cubic spline regression modeling. First we introduce a minimum/maximum algorithm that will identify potential knots. Then we employ least squares estimation to find potential regression coefficients based upon the cubic spline model and the knots chosen by the minimum/maximum algorithm. We then utilize the best subsets regression method to aid in model selection in which we find the minimum value of the Bayesian Information Criteria. Finally, we preent the R2adj as a measure of overall goodness of fit of our selected model. We have found among the fifty states and Washington D.C., 42 out of 51 showed an R2adj value that was greater than 90%. We also present an overall model of the United States. Also, we show additional applications our algorithm for data which show a non linear association. It is hoped that our method can serve as a unified model for violent crime rate over future years.

Extent

viii, 62 p. : ill. (some col.)

Comments

by Eric David Golinko.|Thesis (M.S.)--Florida Atlantic University, 2012.|Includes bibliography.|Electronic reproduction. Boca Raton, Fla., 2012. Mode of access: World Wide Web.|by Eric David Golinko.

Identifier

FADT3342107

Format

pdf

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